Federal reforms will reduce Oregon's uninsured population by 65 percent while leaving 240,000 behind
August 11, 2010 -- As a result of the massive federal healthcare law enacted this year, Oregon families and individuals could save around $1.8 billion by 2019, according to the Office of Oregon Health Policy and Research.
Oregon businesses could save another $30 million even if they increased wages by an expected $469 million as a result of lowered healthcare costs.
Using the Gruber model -- named after economist Jonathan Gruber
-- along with demographic trends and existing data on the current uninsured population, analysts determined that four years into the law – by 2019 – about 240,000 people would remain uninsured in Oregon out of 680,000 uninsured today.
An estimated 140,000 people will gain access to the Oregon Health Plan in 2015, amounting to the second largest boost to a state’s Medicaid rolls in the country as a result of the reform law, according to Oregon state officials.
Those left without coverage will mostly be undocumented citizens or low-income young people who choose to ignore the individual mandate, according to the analysis.
The figures were delivered Tuesday (Aug 10) to the Oregon Health Policy Board, which oversees the Oregon Health Authority.
Out of those currently uninsured, roughly 150,000 people will likely gain health coverage through an insurance exchange by 2019. The exchange will offer subsidies to families and individuals earning up to 400 percent of the federal poverty level beginning in 2014 with a possible public health insurance option as well. (See related story
Another 30,000 people living in Oregon will gain coverage through individual health plans outside the exchange and 80,000 people through employer groups as a result of subsidies and mandates, the report found.
Until then, 142,447 people were on a waiting list for OHP Standard as of July 23. Enrollment in this expanded Medicaid program is estimated to reach 60,000 by June 30, 2011 from roughly 31,000 today. There have now been nine random drawings with the next scheduled for August 18, 2010 for 20,000 names.
To Learn More
For more on OHP Standard including how you can get in that lottery click here
For a breakdown of the analysis click here for a PDF.
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